@mattsheffield@mastodon.social
2026-10-30 02:40 UTC
Some political consulting organizations have claimed that they have research showing that Trump's ad campaign was effective. But they won't share their methods.
The only publicly available study with a sound methodology of the Trump ads agreed with the political science consensus: it had essentially no effect.
We've seen in subsequent elections that bashing trans people cannot protect a candidate from losing as well...
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@mattsheffield@mastodon.social 2026-10-30 02:41
Winsome Earle-Sears, the Republican running in 2025 to succeed Youngkin spent the majority of her campaign ad budget on anti-trans ads. She lost by 15 points. In all the major races that year, anti-trans ads failed to move candidates past the finish line. They cannot save a candidate from losing.